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Red151
841B39.4
664736.1
5026B28.6
Blue100
463560.6
11433.1
97358.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84176050100150200250151100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+49Teleop
+49Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points11
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +57
25Coral scored#17
91Coral points62
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
18Processor points6
24Net points8
42Algae points14
133Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#6
7L3#6
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
2Foul points0
151Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841B
#42
39.45.2
31.636.8
Auto5.0
Teleop31.1
End3.3
blue by 21.1
4635
#20
60.64.5
61.657.1
Auto13.6
Teleop37.8
End9.2
Second
6647
#35
36.13.1
36.539.6
Auto5.7
Teleop27.6
End2.8
blue by 22.6
973
#6
58.74.5
56.552.0
Auto14.1
Teleop35.3
End9.3
Third
28.65.2
23.528.7
Auto2.2
Teleop23.2
End3.3
blue by 4.5
114
#44
33.14.5
37.432.9
Auto8.4
Teleop23.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed58%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsMissed