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Qual 472025 Madtown Throwdown
Red166
665739.2
6647B30.4
601739.7
Blue126
167890.5
541935.3
2813B19.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94192050150250300350166126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+22Teleop
+32Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave6
4Coral scored#6
19Coral points31
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +40
23Coral scored#15
81Coral points55
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
123Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#8
6L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
8Foul points0
166Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6017
#32
39.73.1
38.2→41.3
Auto4.1
Teleop28.8
End6.9
blue by 50.8
1678
#4
90.53.1
92.2→89.1
Auto24.9
Teleop55.5
End10.1
Second
6657
#21
39.23.1
35.5→38.6
Auto9.8
Teleop25.7
End3.7
red by 3.9
5419
#23
35.33.1
40.8→37.7
Auto7.8
Teleop21.8
End5.7
Third
6647B
#33
30.45.2
26.9→32.1
Auto1.5
Teleop24.2
End4.7
red by 11.3
2813B
#45
19.25.2
28.1→22.8
Auto2.8
Teleop14.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed78%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsMissed