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Red151
594073.0
2073B33.1
630533.0
Blue149
207355.5
254B55.3
876830.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15417650100200250300350151149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+12Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave9
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points11
33Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +1
26Coral scored#21
92Coral points77
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
114Total teleop115
Reef
12L4#11
7L3#5
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
151Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#11
73.00.6
73.273.9
Auto19.0
Teleop45.1
End8.9
red by 17.5
2073
#25
55.50.9
55.354.5
Auto12.4
Teleop35.8
End7.3
Second
33.11.0
26.527.5
Auto8.0
Teleop25.2
End-0.1
blue by 22.1
254B
#10
55.31.4
64.162.6
Auto9.0
Teleop39.6
End6.7
Third
6305
#27
33.00.6
34.134.7
Auto4.0
Teleop27.9
End1.0
red by 2.8
8768
#28
30.10.9
33.632.7
Auto2.4
Teleop26.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsMissed71%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned