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Red154
1678B40.5
1323C48.9
397059.6
Blue139
6657B19.1
502648.0
97182.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162166140150170180154139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points26
13Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +34
24Coral scored#19
87Coral points67
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
125Total teleop91
Reef
8L4#10
10L3#6
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points6
154Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#43
59.60.6
58.459.0
Auto10.2
Teleop41.8
End7.6
blue by 22.6
971
#5
82.21.1
80.979.8
Auto14.8
Teleop57.3
End10.1
Second
48.91.0
50.651.6
Auto5.6
Teleop41.4
End2.0
red by 0.9
5026
#22
48.01.1
49.548.4
Auto11.9
Teleop29.4
End6.7
Third
40.51.0
35.936.9
Auto6.1
Teleop30.3
End4.1
red by 21.5
19.11.8
18.716.9
Auto2.0
Teleop17.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned