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Red102
630533.0
2813B19.2
84150.6
Blue172
4698B16.9
463560.6
469856.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118153050100200250102172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+40
Endgame+70
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +22
9Leave3
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points34
15Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +18
15Coral scored#17
53Coral points61
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
81Total teleop99
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#9
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points0
102Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#36
50.60.9
52.251.3
Auto11.4
Teleop29.5
End9.7
blue by 10.0
4635
#20
60.61.9
57.158.9
Auto13.6
Teleop37.8
End9.2
Second
6305
#27
33.00.9
34.733.9
Auto4.0
Teleop27.9
End1.0
blue by 23.2
56.11.9
53.355.2
Auto18.3
Teleop28.3
End9.6
Third
19.21.4
22.821.4
Auto2.8
Teleop14.4
End2.0
red by 2.3
16.93.1
27.830.9
Auto6.4
Teleop4.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned