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Red206
254B55.3
167154.6
167890.5
Blue176
958430.1
581C38.0
1323117.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221220180190200210230206176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+2Teleop
+12Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
9Leave3
11Coral scored#7
53Coral points37
62Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +20
17Coral scored#22
62Coral points80
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
12Processor points18
28Net points24
40Algae points42
102Total teleop122
Reef
14L4#13
5L3#7
4L2#7
5L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
18Foul points0
206Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.50.8
89.188.3
Auto24.9
Teleop55.5
End10.1
blue by 26.5
117.01.0
114.6113.5
Auto28.3
Teleop76.6
End12.1
Second
254B
#10
55.31.3
62.661.3
Auto9.0
Teleop39.6
End6.7
red by 17.3
581C
#18
38.01.7
46.945.2
Auto7.9
Teleop27.5
End2.5
Third
1671
#15
54.60.8
48.447.6
Auto13.9
Teleop36.1
End4.7
red by 24.5
9584
#34
30.11.0
30.029.0
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned89%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned