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Red195
601739.7
469856.1
581B70.0
Blue147
661940.9
11433.1
397059.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17014580100120160180200220195147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+40Teleop
+42Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave3
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points13
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
20Coral scored#22
73Coral points79
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
18Processor points12
28Net points16
46Algae points28
119Total teleop107
Reef
11L4#9
9L3#7
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
6Foul points0
195Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581B
#24
70.02.2
63.565.6
Auto17.9
Teleop45.2
End6.9
red by 10.5
3970
#43
59.60.1
59.058.9
Auto10.2
Teleop41.8
End7.6
Second
56.11.4
55.256.5
Auto18.3
Teleop28.3
End9.6
red by 15.2
6619
#31
40.90.1
43.343.2
Auto5.3
Teleop29.1
End6.5
Third
6017
#32
39.71.4
38.439.8
Auto4.1
Teleop28.8
End6.9
red by 6.6
114
#44
33.10.1
35.135.0
Auto8.4
Teleop23.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned