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Red111
581C38.0
281358.1
2813B19.2
Blue117
876830.1
958430.1
1678B40.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14310250200250111117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
10Coral scored#18
37Coral points64
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#6
18Processor points6
24Net points24
42Algae points30
79Total teleop94
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
111Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2813
#17
58.12.1
60.158.0
Auto9.7
Teleop38.6
End9.8
red by 17.6
40.50.2
36.937.1
Auto6.1
Teleop30.3
End4.1
Second
581C
#18
38.03.2
45.241.9
Auto7.9
Teleop27.5
End2.5
red by 7.8
8768
#28
30.10.1
31.631.7
Auto2.4
Teleop26.1
End1.6
Third
19.23.2
21.418.2
Auto2.8
Teleop14.4
End2.0
blue by 10.9
9584
#34
30.10.1
29.029.1
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
60%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned