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Red202
254B55.3
971B38.6
594073.0
Blue193
664736.1
254100.8
581757.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189219100150200250300202193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+19Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave9
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points37
37Total auto46
TeleoperatedRed +28
28Coral scored#21
101Coral points75
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
24Processor points18
24Net points28
48Algae points46
149Total teleop121
Reef
8L4#13
14L3#8
4L2#4
8L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
202Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#11
73.02.4
71.173.4
Auto19.0
Teleop45.1
End8.9
blue by 27.8
254
#2
100.80.1
99.899.7
Auto27.4
Teleop63.8
End9.6
Second
254B
#10
55.33.7
61.365.0
Auto9.0
Teleop39.6
End6.7
blue by 1.8
5817
#14
57.00.1
55.655.6
Auto8.2
Teleop47.4
End1.5
Third
971B
#26
38.63.7
33.937.6
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End2.1
red by 2.5
6647
#35
36.10.1
38.438.4
Auto5.7
Teleop27.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
88%Coral oddsEarned92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned