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Red201
1678B40.5
2073B33.1
167890.5
Blue96
5026B28.6
469856.1
876830.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18012505010015020025030020196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+95Teleop
+95Endgame
+105Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
9Leave9
7Coral scored#1
35Coral points3
44Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +63
21Coral scored#12
75Coral points44
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
24Processor points12
32Net points12
56Algae points24
131Total teleop68
Reef
11L4#5
7L3#3
4L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +105
10Foul points0
201Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.52.4
88.490.8
Auto24.9
Teleop55.5
End10.1
red by 34.4
56.11.5
56.555.0
Auto18.3
Teleop28.3
End9.6
Second
40.53.5
37.140.5
Auto6.1
Teleop30.3
End4.1
red by 10.4
8768
#28
30.11.5
31.730.1
Auto2.4
Teleop26.1
End1.6
Third
33.13.5
29.533.0
Auto8.0
Teleop25.2
End-0.1
red by 4.5
28.62.2
30.928.6
Auto2.2
Teleop23.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
89%Coral oddsEarned23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed