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Red146
970618.4
541935.3
1323B80.0
Blue142
973B17.2
254100.8
6657B19.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14016250100200250146142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+12
+10Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
26Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +9
13Coral scored#16
48Coral points59
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
24Processor points18
16Net points20
40Algae points38
88Total teleop97
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#28
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
6Foul points12
146Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.01.4
73.474.8
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End9.3
blue by 20.8
254
#2
100.80.5
99.799.3
Auto27.4
Teleop63.8
End9.6
Second
5419
#23
35.31.0
34.335.3
Auto7.8
Teleop21.8
End5.7
red by 16.2
19.10.7
19.819.1
Auto2.0
Teleop17.4
End-0.3
Third
9706
#40
18.41.0
17.418.4
Auto4.6
Teleop10.8
End3.0
red by 1.2
973B
#41
17.20.5
17.717.2
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsMissed