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Red240
2073B33.1
167890.5
58190.9
Blue150
254B55.3
463560.6
581757.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236185050100150300350240150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+68Teleop
+70Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
9Coral scored#7
46Coral points35
52Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +57
24Coral scored#16
86Coral points59
5Processor algae#2
9Net algae#6
30Processor points12
36Net points24
66Algae points36
152Total teleop95
Reef
15L4#9
9L3#7
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
47Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +90
20Foul points0
240Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#3
90.90.1
91.291.3
Auto19.7
Teleop61.7
End9.5
red by 30.3
4635
#20
60.60.6
61.561.0
Auto13.6
Teleop37.8
End9.2
Second
90.50.1
90.890.9
Auto24.9
Teleop55.5
End10.1
red by 33.5
5817
#14
57.00.6
57.657.0
Auto8.2
Teleop47.4
End1.5
Third
33.10.1
33.033.1
Auto8.0
Teleop25.2
End-0.1
blue by 22.1
254B
#10
55.30.8
56.555.8
Auto9.0
Teleop39.6
End6.7