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Red203
97182.2
281358.1
1323B80.0
Blue166
469856.1
1323C48.9
84150.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22714950100200250300350203166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+17Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave6
9Coral scored#8
43Coral points38
43Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +18
28Coral scored#17
100Coral points62
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
12Processor points24
12Net points20
24Algae points44
124Total teleop106
Reef
8L4#11
15L3#7
9L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#34
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
203Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#5
82.20.1
78.378.2
Auto14.8
Teleop57.3
End10.1
red by 26.0
56.10.3
55.055.3
Auto18.3
Teleop28.3
End9.6
Second
80.00.2
74.874.6
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End9.3
red by 29.4
841
#36
50.60.3
49.549.8
Auto11.4
Teleop29.5
End9.7
Third
2813
#17
58.10.1
55.755.6
Auto9.7
Teleop38.6
End9.8
red by 9.3
48.90.4
47.447.8
Auto5.6
Teleop41.4
End2.0