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Red185
1678D64.1
601739.7
594073.0
Blue175
581B70.0
581C38.0
97358.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190177100150200250185175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+2Teleop
+12Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave3
8Coral scored#7
42Coral points37
48Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +6
17Coral scored#25
61Coral points89
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
30Processor points12
20Net points16
50Algae points28
111Total teleop117
Reef
9L4#9
8L3#11
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points2
185Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#11
73.00.3
71.772.0
Auto19.0
Teleop45.1
End8.9
red by 2.9
581B
#24
70.00.2
69.870.0
Auto17.9
Teleop45.2
End6.9
Second
64.10.4
62.462.8
Auto17.0
Teleop42.6
End4.5
red by 5.4
973
#6
58.70.2
58.558.7
Auto14.1
Teleop35.3
End9.3
Third
6017
#32
39.70.3
38.538.7
Auto4.1
Teleop28.8
End6.9
red by 1.8
581C
#18
38.00.2
37.838.0
Auto7.9
Teleop27.5
End2.5