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Red194
213565.2
207355.5
167154.6
Blue173
469856.1
1323C48.9
84150.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180162100120140200220240194173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+37Teleop
+27Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points28
44Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +27
29Coral scored#20
106Coral points73
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
134Total teleop107
Reef
18L4#10
7L3#8
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points6
194Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.20.6
63.063.5
Auto19.3
Teleop42.9
End2.9
red by 9.1
56.10.3
55.956.1
Auto18.3
Teleop28.3
End9.6
Second
2073
#25
55.50.6
53.253.8
Auto12.4
Teleop35.8
End7.3
red by 4.9
841
#36
50.60.3
50.350.6
Auto11.4
Teleop29.5
End9.7
Third
1671
#15
54.60.6
52.452.9
Auto13.9
Teleop36.1
End4.7
red by 5.7
48.90.4
48.548.9
Auto5.6
Teleop41.4
End2.0