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Red216
971B38.6
167890.5
58190.9
Blue258
97182.2
281358.1
1323B80.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230216140160180200240260280300216258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+30
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave9
11Coral scored#8
53Coral points38
62Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +45
26Coral scored#31
92Coral points113
3Processor algae#5
5Net algae#8
18Processor points30
20Net points32
38Algae points62
130Total teleop175
Reef
13L4#17
12L3#7
7L2#10
5L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
216Total score258

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#3
90.90.1
91.391.2
Auto19.7
Teleop61.7
End9.5
red by 8.8
971
#5
82.21.1
78.279.3
Auto14.8
Teleop57.3
End10.1
Second
90.50.1
90.990.8
Auto24.9
Teleop55.5
End10.1
red by 10.5
80.01.5
74.676.1
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End9.3
Third
971B
#26
38.60.2
39.138.9
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End2.1
blue by 19.5
2813
#17
58.11.1
55.656.7
Auto9.7
Teleop38.6
End9.8