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Red136
472323.1
435530.5
347868.5
Blue105
393325.4
473130.6
660814.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1058150150136105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+37Teleop
+49Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +26
22Coral scored#16
79Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
97Total teleop71
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#4
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points18
136Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.54.4
43.648.0
Auto13.4
Teleop45.4
End9.7
red by 37.9
4731
#19
30.60.1
18.518.6
Auto3.4
Teleop27.0
End0.1
Second
4355
#14
30.54.4
15.019.4
Auto5.5
Teleop21.7
End3.3
red by 5.1
3933
#31
25.40.1
24.224.3
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End0.9
Third
4723
#25
23.14.4
17.121.5
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End3.1
red by 8.7
6608
#29
14.30.1
19.119.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed