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Red117
928034.7
951321.7
440056.2
Blue109
571633.0
228333.0
670231.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101740204060120140160117109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+10Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
26Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +3
16Coral scored#15
57Coral points54
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
12Processor points18
8Net points8
20Algae points26
77Total teleop80
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#6
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
117Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.21.2
47.548.6
Auto16.4
Teleop34.5
End5.3
red by 23.2
5716
#22
33.03.1
20.523.6
Auto3.9
Teleop26.9
End2.2
Second
34.71.9
22.124.1
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End2.7
red by 1.7
33.01.9
26.628.5
Auto6.3
Teleop22.5
End4.2
Third
9513
#30
21.71.9
16.718.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End4.7
blue by 9.3
6702
#10
31.03.1
19.222.3
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsEarned