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Red46
660616.4
634836.3
610625.7
Blue70
588717.5
664739.3
348026.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798940601001201404670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+34
Endgame+32
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +28
6Coral scored#11
22Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
28Total teleop56
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
8Foul points0
46Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6348
#12
36.32.3
33.230.8
Auto4.6
Teleop30.3
End1.4
blue by 3.0
39.30.1
32.832.8
Auto3.5
Teleop35.2
End0.6
Second
6106
#21
25.72.3
21.519.2
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.2
blue by 1.0
3480
#18
26.70.1
22.122.0
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End1.6
Third
6606
#28
16.42.1
8.96.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End2.4
blue by 1.1
17.50.1
13.113.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed