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Red53
513321.7
478220.3
959316.8
Blue103
435530.5
710230.7
664739.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5792020408010012014016053103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+50
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +46
8Coral scored#14
28Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
38Total teleop84
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
53Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5133
#13
21.70.5
16.816.4
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End2.7
blue by 17.6
39.31.3
32.834.0
Auto3.5
Teleop35.2
End0.6
Second
4782
#27
20.30.5
19.619.1
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End3.5
blue by 10.5
7102
#16
30.71.3
26.027.2
Auto4.1
Teleop25.2
End1.5
Third
9593
#26
16.80.5
15.615.1
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End0.2
blue by 13.7
4355
#14
30.52.1
19.421.5
Auto5.5
Teleop21.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed