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Red47
472323.1
594832.5
571633.0
Blue49
473517.5
477522.6
634836.3
61%Model gave it39%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787140601001204749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +13
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points33
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
24Total teleop37
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
8Foul points2
47Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5716
#22
33.03.5
23.620.1
Auto3.9
Teleop26.9
End2.2
blue by 3.3
6348
#12
36.31.3
30.829.6
Auto4.6
Teleop30.3
End1.4
Second
5948
#20
32.53.5
19.816.3
Auto4.7
Teleop25.5
End2.4
red by 9.9
22.61.3
15.514.3
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End0.8
Third
4723
#25
23.13.5
21.518.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End3.1
red by 5.5
4735
#11
17.52.1
13.811.8
Auto2.1
Teleop11.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed