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Red133
497719.3
610625.7
347868.5
Blue67
460315.2
473130.6
660616.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11051010015013367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+66Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +63
21Coral scored#9
75Coral points34
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
24Processor points6
16Net points12
40Algae points18
115Total teleop52
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#2
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
133Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.53.5
48.051.5
Auto13.4
Teleop45.4
End9.7
red by 37.9
4731
#19
30.60.1
18.618.8
Auto3.4
Teleop27.0
End0.1
Second
6106
#21
25.72.1
19.221.3
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.2
red by 9.3
6606
#28
16.40.1
6.86.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Third
4977
#17
19.32.3
15.117.5
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End0.9
red by 4.1
4603
#24
15.20.2
19.719.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed