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Red32
478220.3
660814.3
810520.4
Blue87
347224.9
463552.1
335424.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65902040801001203287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+37
Endgame+49
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
3Coral scored#9
12Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
16Total teleop42
Reef
1L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points6
32Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8105
#15
20.43.1
17.814.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End4.5
blue by 31.7
52.10.0
44.244.2
Auto11.8
Teleop31.2
End9.2
Second
4782
#27
20.33.1
22.719.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End3.5
blue by 4.6
24.90.0
18.518.4
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End2.3
Third
6608
#29
14.33.1
19.316.2
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End0.8
blue by 10.2
3354
#23
24.60.1
18.918.9
Auto4.6
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned