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Red72
710230.7
588717.5
472323.1
Blue90
473130.6
610625.7
473517.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81796570758590957290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +21
11Coral scored#15
41Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
61Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
72Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7102
#16
30.71.2
22.821.6
Auto4.1
Teleop25.2
End1.5
red by 0.2
4731
#19
30.60.2
18.418.5
Auto3.4
Teleop27.0
End0.1
Second
4723
#25
23.11.6
18.817.1
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End3.1
blue by 2.6
6106
#21
25.70.2
22.422.6
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.2
Third
17.51.2
14.913.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Level
4735
#11
17.50.2
16.416.6
Auto2.1
Teleop11.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed