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Red65
634836.3
347224.9
810520.4
Blue39
951321.7
670231.0
435530.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86670501001506539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
8Coral scored#5
29Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
43Total teleop29
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
6Foul points0
65Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6348
#12
36.31.4
34.833.5
Auto4.6
Teleop30.3
End1.4
red by 5.3
6702
#10
31.02.2
21.519.2
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End1.7
Second
24.91.3
20.319.0
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End2.3
blue by 5.6
4355
#14
30.52.2
18.816.5
Auto5.5
Teleop21.7
End3.3
Third
8105
#15
20.41.7
19.417.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End4.5
blue by 1.3
9513
#30
21.72.2
18.916.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed