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Red88
335424.6
664739.3
660814.3
Blue61
513321.7
928034.7
348026.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757002040601001201401608861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
10Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +29
16Coral scored#7
58Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
76Total teleop47
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
88Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.31.1
29.030.2
Auto3.5
Teleop35.2
End0.6
red by 4.6
34.71.4
22.220.8
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End2.7
Second
3354
#23
24.61.6
18.419.9
Auto4.6
Teleop18.8
End1.2
blue by 2.2
3480
#18
26.71.1
23.122.0
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End1.6
Third
6608
#29
14.31.6
17.619.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End0.8
blue by 7.4
5133
#13
21.71.4
16.314.9
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed