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Red96
588717.5
959316.8
473130.6
Blue95
951321.7
634836.3
810520.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70880204060801001201401609695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +9
15Coral scored#16
54Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
76Total teleop85
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
4Foul points0
96Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4731
#19
30.60.5
21.321.8
Auto3.4
Teleop27.0
End0.1
blue by 5.8
6348
#12
36.30.4
31.331.6
Auto4.6
Teleop30.3
End1.4
Second
17.50.5
14.715.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End2.0
blue by 4.2
9513
#30
21.70.6
16.216.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End4.7
Third
9593
#26
16.80.8
16.517.3
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End0.2
blue by 3.7
8105
#15
20.40.6
14.915.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed