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Red87
497719.3
473517.5
463552.1
Blue77
347224.9
670231.0
610625.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83672040601001208777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+8Teleop
+20Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
45Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points10
87Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.6
45.345.8
Auto11.8
Teleop31.2
End9.2
red by 21.1
6702
#10
31.00.3
22.922.6
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End1.7
Second
4977
#17
19.30.6
16.517.0
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End0.9
blue by 6.4
6106
#21
25.70.2
22.121.9
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.2
Third
4735
#11
17.50.9
11.812.7
Auto2.1
Teleop11.9
End3.5
blue by 7.4
24.90.2
19.118.9
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed