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Red80
228333.0
460315.2
393325.4
Blue133
348026.7
335424.6
347868.5
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85116406010014016018080133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+39
Endgame+51
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +25
14Coral scored#13
49Coral points48
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
6Processor points24
12Net points20
18Algae points44
67Total teleop92
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points2
80Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.5
27.527.0
Auto6.3
Teleop22.5
End4.2
blue by 35.5
68.52.5
52.655.1
Auto13.4
Teleop45.4
End9.7
Second
3933
#31
25.40.5
24.924.4
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End0.9
blue by 1.3
3480
#18
26.71.5
22.423.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End1.6
Third
4603
#24
15.20.9
18.517.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.9
blue by 9.4
3354
#23
24.62.5
17.520.0
Auto4.6
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned