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Red61
393325.4
347224.9
478220.3
Blue36
460315.2
472323.1
497719.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7366204060801001206136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +28
9Coral scored#3
32Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
44Total teleop16
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
2Foul points2
61Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3933
#31
25.40.4
24.424.0
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End0.9
red by 2.3
4723
#25
23.12.6
19.917.3
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End3.1
Second
24.90.4
18.918.5
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End2.3
red by 5.6
4977
#17
19.31.5
17.015.5
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End0.9
Third
4782
#27
20.30.6
18.117.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End3.5
red by 5.1
4603
#24
15.22.6
17.615.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed