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Red125
463552.1
660616.4
477522.6
Blue110
440056.2
513321.7
335424.6
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6810120406080120140160125110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+11Teleop
+21Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +22
20Coral scored#12
71Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
93Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#8
8L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points6
125Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.12.8
45.848.6
Auto11.8
Teleop31.2
End9.2
blue by 4.0
56.20.5
48.348.8
Auto16.4
Teleop34.5
End5.3
Second
22.62.8
13.716.4
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End0.8
blue by 2.0
3354
#23
24.60.8
20.020.8
Auto4.6
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Third
6606
#28
16.42.8
9.212.0
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End2.4
blue by 5.3
5133
#13
21.70.8
19.120.0
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed