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Red120
228333.0
460315.2
435530.5
Blue90
335424.6
477522.6
473130.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96795015012090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
15Coral scored#15
55Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
87Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
120Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.02.2
28.130.2
Auto6.3
Teleop22.5
End4.2
red by 2.4
4731
#19
30.60.7
21.822.4
Auto3.4
Teleop27.0
End0.1
Second
4355
#14
30.53.7
25.829.4
Auto5.5
Teleop21.7
End3.3
red by 6.0
3354
#23
24.61.1
20.821.9
Auto4.6
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Third
4603
#24
15.23.7
15.018.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.9
blue by 7.4
22.60.7
16.417.1
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed