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Red117
951321.7
347868.5
473517.5
Blue142
710230.7
348026.7
463552.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10811480100120140160117142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+21
Endgame+19
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +14
20Coral scored#16
71Coral points57
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
6Processor points18
8Net points24
14Algae points42
85Total teleop99
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#7
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points6
117Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.51.7
58.960.7
Auto13.4
Teleop45.4
End9.7
red by 16.3
52.11.8
48.650.4
Auto11.8
Teleop31.2
End9.2
Second
9513
#30
21.71.9
16.718.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End4.7
blue by 9.0
7102
#16
30.71.8
27.329.1
Auto4.1
Teleop25.2
End1.5
Third
4735
#11
17.51.7
16.718.4
Auto2.1
Teleop11.9
End3.5
blue by 9.2
3480
#18
26.71.8
23.925.7
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned