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Red138
959316.8
664739.3
634836.3
Blue135
440056.2
594832.5
347224.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8810020406080120140160180138135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+5Teleop
Endgame+9
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +19
22Coral scored#18
78Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
110Total teleop91
Reef
9L4#9
6L3#5
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
12Foul points0
138Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.31.7
35.437.1
Auto3.5
Teleop35.2
End0.6
blue by 16.9
56.21.9
52.053.9
Auto16.4
Teleop34.5
End5.3
Second
6348
#12
36.31.7
32.033.8
Auto4.6
Teleop30.3
End1.4
red by 3.8
5948
#20
32.53.2
20.824.0
Auto4.7
Teleop25.5
End2.4
Third
9593
#26
16.82.7
15.318.0
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End0.2
blue by 8.1
24.91.9
18.520.4
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned