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Red93
670231.0
473130.6
513321.7
Blue71
478220.3
435530.5
588717.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8987758085951009371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +24
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
77Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points2
93Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6702
#10
31.00.8
24.825.5
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End1.7
red by 0.5
4355
#14
30.51.2
29.428.2
Auto5.5
Teleop21.7
End3.3
Second
4731
#19
30.60.5
22.422.9
Auto3.4
Teleop27.0
End0.1
red by 10.3
4782
#27
20.31.2
17.015.8
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End3.5
Third
5133
#13
21.70.7
18.018.7
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End2.7
red by 4.2
17.50.8
16.415.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed