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Red85
928034.7
393325.4
335424.6
Blue112
610625.7
463552.1
810520.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86112406010012014016018085112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+5
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +9
16Coral scored#14
56Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
74Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#7
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
85Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.71.1
29.230.4
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End2.7
blue by 17.4
52.11.5
50.451.9
Auto11.8
Teleop31.2
End9.2
Second
3933
#31
25.40.7
22.923.6
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End0.9
blue by 0.3
6106
#21
25.71.5
21.823.2
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.2
Third
3354
#23
24.61.1
21.923.1
Auto4.6
Teleop18.8
End1.2
red by 4.1
8105
#15
20.42.3
18.020.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned