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Red126
477522.6
347868.5
670231.0
Blue82
664739.3
347224.9
460315.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11682406010014016018012682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+32Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
19Coral scored#16
68Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
84Total teleop66
Reef
12L4#7
5L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
126Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.51.6
60.762.3
Auto13.4
Teleop45.4
End9.7
red by 29.2
39.30.0
37.137.2
Auto3.5
Teleop35.2
End0.6
Second
6702
#10
31.01.7
25.527.3
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End1.7
red by 6.1
24.90.0
20.420.4
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End2.3
Third
22.61.1
17.118.2
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End0.8
red by 7.4
4603
#24
15.20.1
18.718.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed