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Red86
610625.7
951321.7
393325.4
Blue99
594832.5
664739.3
478220.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7491204060801001201401608699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+15
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +22
12Coral scored#19
44Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
68Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#9
3L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#25
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
2Foul points0
86Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6106
#21
25.70.7
22.623.3
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.2
blue by 13.6
39.30.7
37.237.9
Auto3.5
Teleop35.2
End0.6
Second
3933
#31
25.40.7
24.425.1
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End0.9
blue by 7.1
5948
#20
32.51.1
24.625.7
Auto4.7
Teleop25.5
End2.4
Third
9513
#30
21.71.0
17.818.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End4.7
red by 1.4
4782
#27
20.31.0
14.915.8
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed