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Red78
477522.6
497719.3
588717.5
Blue70
810520.4
959316.8
670231.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5976020401001201401607870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+4Teleop
+6Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +7
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points41
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
60Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
2Foul points0
78Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.3
18.219.5
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End0.8
blue by 8.5
6702
#10
31.00.1
27.327.3
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End1.7
Second
4977
#17
19.31.3
16.718.0
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End0.9
blue by 1.1
8105
#15
20.40.1
20.220.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End4.5
Third
17.51.3
15.116.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End2.0
red by 0.7
9593
#26
16.80.1
16.616.7
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed