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Red156
710230.7
928034.7
473130.6
Blue102
634836.3
472323.1
335424.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131088090100120130140150156102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+54Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +54
23Coral scored#17
82Coral points60
4Processor algae#2
9Net algae#4
24Processor points12
36Net points16
60Algae points28
142Total teleop88
Reef
7L4#10
7L3#4
8L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
156Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.74.0
30.434.4
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End2.7
blue by 1.6
6348
#12
36.30.5
33.833.2
Auto4.6
Teleop30.3
End1.4
Second
7102
#16
30.72.8
29.131.8
Auto4.1
Teleop25.2
End1.5
red by 6.2
3354
#23
24.60.7
23.122.3
Auto4.6
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Third
4731
#19
30.62.8
22.925.6
Auto3.4
Teleop27.0
End0.1
red by 7.5
4723
#25
23.10.8
23.522.6
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed