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Red82
228333.0
594832.5
513321.7
Blue51
610625.7
478220.3
460315.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89602040801001201408251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+19Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
19Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +15
9Coral scored#5
33Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
47Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
82Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.4
30.831.2
Auto6.3
Teleop22.5
End4.2
red by 7.3
6106
#21
25.70.6
23.222.6
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.2
Second
5948
#20
32.50.6
24.024.6
Auto4.7
Teleop25.5
End2.4
red by 12.2
4782
#27
20.30.9
15.814.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End3.5
Third
5133
#13
21.70.6
18.719.3
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End2.7
red by 6.5
4603
#24
15.20.9
18.717.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed