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Red96
571633.0
393325.4
348026.7
Blue109
463552.1
959316.8
440056.2
2%Model gave it98%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861515010020096109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+11
Endgame+19
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
15Coral points23
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +3
15Coral scored#14
55Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
69Total teleop72
Reef
8L4#10
4L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
6Foul points0
96Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5716
#22
33.01.2
28.129.3
Auto3.9
Teleop26.9
End2.2
blue by 23.2
56.21.0
53.952.9
Auto16.4
Teleop34.5
End5.3
Second
3480
#18
26.70.8
25.726.6
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End1.6
blue by 25.4
52.11.0
51.950.9
Auto11.8
Teleop31.2
End9.2
Third
3933
#31
25.40.8
23.624.4
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End0.9
red by 8.6
9593
#26
16.81.4
18.016.6
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned