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Red86
664739.3
513321.7
497719.3
Blue120
463552.1
228333.0
951321.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82117406010014016018086120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+24
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +14
14Coral scored#17
49Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
69Total teleop83
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
86Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.30.1
37.937.9
Auto3.5
Teleop35.2
End0.6
blue by 12.8
52.10.6
51.352.0
Auto11.8
Teleop31.2
End9.2
Second
5133
#13
21.70.1
22.322.2
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End2.7
blue by 11.3
33.00.6
31.732.3
Auto6.3
Teleop22.5
End4.2
Third
4977
#17
19.30.1
18.418.3
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End0.9
blue by 2.4
9513
#30
21.70.9
18.819.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned