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Red59
660616.4
810520.4
348026.7
Blue77
571633.0
477522.6
928034.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556302040801001201405977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +29
7Coral scored#14
26Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
38Total teleop67
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
59Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3480
#18
26.70.1
22.022.1
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End1.6
blue by 8.0
34.71.3
20.822.1
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End2.7
Second
8105
#15
20.40.2
17.717.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End4.5
blue by 12.6
5716
#22
33.01.3
19.120.5
Auto3.9
Teleop26.9
End2.2
Third
6606
#28
16.40.1
8.88.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End2.4
blue by 6.2
22.60.8
13.113.9
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed