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Red148
664739.3
228333.0
710230.7
Blue113
478220.3
634836.3
463552.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88116406080100140160180148113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+7Teleop
+17Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +21
20Coral scored#18
71Coral points66
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
105Total teleop84
Reef
11L4#8
4L3#8
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
18Foul points0
148Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.32.7
30.232.8
Auto3.5
Teleop35.2
End0.6
blue by 12.8
52.10.3
44.544.2
Auto11.8
Teleop31.2
End9.2
Second
33.02.7
23.926.6
Auto6.3
Teleop22.5
End4.2
blue by 3.3
6348
#12
36.30.3
33.533.2
Auto4.6
Teleop30.3
End1.4
Third
7102
#16
30.72.7
21.624.3
Auto4.1
Teleop25.2
End1.5
red by 10.5
4782
#27
20.30.4
23.122.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsMissed