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Red179
440056.2
478220.3
347868.5
Blue92
228333.0
664739.3
951321.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1561005020017992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+83Teleop
+93Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave6
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points3
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +48
21Coral scored#13
75Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
107Total teleop59
Reef
13L4#4
9L3#6
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +87
2Foul points8
179Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.50.8
66.667.5
Auto13.4
Teleop45.4
End9.7
red by 29.2
39.30.2
39.539.2
Auto3.5
Teleop35.2
End0.6
Second
56.20.8
54.355.2
Auto16.4
Teleop34.5
End5.3
red by 23.2
33.00.2
33.132.9
Auto6.3
Teleop22.5
End4.2
Third
4782
#27
20.30.8
18.519.3
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End3.5
blue by 1.4
9513
#30
21.70.3
21.921.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End4.7