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Red153
670231.0
473130.6
594832.5
Blue142
463552.1
928034.7
513321.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11614050100200250153142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+21Teleop
+13Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +32
19Coral scored#16
69Coral points57
4Processor algae#2
11Net algae#9
24Processor points12
44Net points36
68Algae points48
137Total teleop105
Reef
8L4#6
8L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points2
153Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5948
#20
32.50.8
31.632.4
Auto4.7
Teleop25.5
End2.4
blue by 19.6
52.10.1
52.052.1
Auto11.8
Teleop31.2
End9.2
Second
6702
#10
31.00.8
30.130.9
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End1.7
blue by 3.7
34.70.1
34.634.7
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End2.7
Third
4731
#19
30.60.7
29.830.5
Auto3.4
Teleop27.0
End0.1
red by 8.9
5133
#13
21.70.1
21.621.7
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End2.7