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Red162
440056.2
478220.3
347868.5
Blue91
347224.9
393325.4
571633.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163905010015020016291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+39Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave0
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points9
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
16Coral scored#17
59Coral points60
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
89Total teleop78
Reef
9L4#6
8L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#23
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
162Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.50.5
66.266.6
Auto13.4
Teleop45.4
End9.7
red by 35.5
5716
#22
33.00.1
33.333.4
Auto3.9
Teleop26.9
End2.2
Second
56.20.5
53.954.3
Auto16.4
Teleop34.5
End5.3
red by 30.8
3933
#31
25.40.1
25.725.8
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End0.9
Third
4782
#27
20.30.5
18.018.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End3.5
blue by 4.6
24.90.1
25.225.3
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End2.3