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Red115
670231.0
473130.6
594832.5
Blue130
228333.0
664739.3
951321.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11312550100150200250115130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+5
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +1
21Coral scored#18
75Coral points64
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
18Processor points18
8Net points20
26Algae points38
101Total teleop102
Reef
7L4#7
8L3#8
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
115Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5948
#20
32.50.1
30.530.6
Auto4.7
Teleop25.5
End2.4
blue by 6.8
39.30.4
39.039.5
Auto3.5
Teleop35.2
End0.6
Second
6702
#10
31.00.1
29.029.1
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End1.7
blue by 2.0
33.00.4
32.733.1
Auto6.3
Teleop22.5
End4.2
Third
4731
#19
30.60.1
28.728.9
Auto3.4
Teleop27.0
End0.1
red by 8.9
9513
#30
21.70.5
21.421.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End4.7