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Red68
347224.9
393325.4
571633.0
Blue110
463552.1
928034.7
513321.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9512940608012014016018020068110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+28
Endgame+38
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +22
9Coral scored#15
31Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
51Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +42
2Foul points6
68Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5716
#22
33.00.4
33.433.0
Auto3.9
Teleop26.9
End2.2
blue by 19.1
52.10.1
52.152.0
Auto11.8
Teleop31.2
End9.2
Second
3933
#31
25.40.4
25.825.4
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End0.9
blue by 9.3
34.70.1
34.734.6
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End2.7
Third
24.90.4
25.324.9
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End2.3
red by 3.2
5133
#13
21.70.1
21.721.6
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End2.7